NFL fantasy football-Who to start, who to avoid, in Week 8
John McFarland THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
After showing up as doubtful on the official NFL injury report, Oakland's Randy Moss caught a touchdown pass. Torry Holt was listed as probable for the Rams, but he didn't play a down.
Those apparent oddities last week caused some fantasy football players to curse the inaccuracy of the NFL's injury listings.
But the real problem in each case more likely was fantasy players not paying close enough attention. Experienced players know the importance of carefully tracking every injury, from the NFL's first report Wednesday to the final league-mandated updates before kickoff.
Still, forecasting who will play can be tricky because there's wiggle room in the injury report definitions. A doubtful player still has a 25 percent chance of playing. A questionable player is 50-50. A probable player has a 75 percent chance of lining up. -NFL Football -
The nature of the injury is also a key. For example, if there's a hamstring or concussion involved, you might want to keep the guy on the bench until he proves he's back. (Just ask those of us stuck with the Saints' Joe Horn, an extended-stay guest in the questionable category.)
With all those variables -- plus some coaches being less than honest to confuse opponents -- the best bet is to simply stay glued to the tube for late injury news before kickoff. (The result is an odd scene now familiar to fantasyfootball widows: Grown men racing across the house in search of the phone or keyboard to change their lineups, mumbling something like, "I can't believe Jones is out.")
As you search for news on your nicked-up roster, here's a look at some players to start this week, some to bench, and a few long shots who might pan out:
Quarterbacks
A SAFE BET
It's hard to imagine Philadelphia's Donovan McNabb keeping up the big numbers with all his nagging injuries, no running game and 50-plus throws a game. But the Broncos are suspect against the pass, so keep riding him until he collapses. -NFL Football -
Tom Brady of New England could find some holes in Buffalo's once-stout defense and continue his odd streak: The Patriots are 3-0 when he throws for 300 yards, 0-3 when he doesn't.
San Diego's Drew Brees had 378 yards and two touchdowns in his last start against the Chiefs. He's had two touchdowns in each of his last four games against Kansas City.
Carolina's Jake Delhomme, on two weeks rest, should quickly remind the Vikings that this game isn't in a dome or against the Packers.
Tennessee's Steve McNair returns after resting his sore back and should put up good numbers while playing catch-up against Oakland. His receivers are hurt, but so is Oakland's secondary.
TAKE A SHOT
Chris Simms of Tampa Bay gets the perfect chance to shake off some rust at San Francisco, where they're handing out touchdowns at the door. The Niners have the league's worst defense and have allowed an NFL-high 15 touchdown passes. -NFL Football -
STEP AWAY
Please, in the name of Cade McNown, don't start these guys:
After laying an egg in Seattle while playing behind a shaky line, you have to wonder if the traditional late-season statistical nosedive has begun for Dallas' Drew Bledsoe.
Yes, Trent Dilfer is playing against the Texans, but keep in mind the big news in Cleveland this week was that he still had his job. -NFL Football -
Whoever's starting for the 49ers isn't even a good option under the garbage-time theory. (How bad are things when receivers fondly remember the Tim Rattay days?)
Running backs
ALL DAY LONG
It's safe to assume last week's 7-yard effort will be LaDainian Tomlinson's season low. In his previous four seasons with the Chargers, he bounced back from his season low with an average of 139 yards and a TD.
Sometimes the Giants' No. 21 run defense is lousy and sometimes it's the No. 31 pass defense. Let's go with the run, meaning a big day for Washington's Clinton Portis after his breakout three TDs last week. -NFL Football -
Find out if Carnell "Cadillac" Williams or Michael Pittman is going for Tampa Bay and quickly put the starter in against the 49ers. Errict Rhett or James Wilder could still shred this defense.
Domanick Davis could have a big day against Cleveland if the Texans stick to their strategy from the first half of last week: Pretending they don't have a quarterback. Davis had 85 yards and a TD by halftime, while David Carr threw five passes.
There's a rule somewhere that you have to start somebody against the Texans, so make it Reuben Droughns. Sure he hasn't scored yet, and Cleveland has gone without an offensive TD in three of four weeks, but it's the Texans. -NFL Football -
HE COULD FIND A SEAM
Remember Travis Henry? He's back with the Titans after serving his drug suspension, and Chris Brown has started getting hurt again.
RED FLAGS
Green Bay's Tony Fisher is starting and Cincinnati's run defense is generous, but the Packers can't block and won't run much when they're down by 28.
You're several weeks late if you're not already sitting Detroit's Kevin Jones. He doesn't have a 100-yard game, hasn't found the end zone in four of six games and faces a Bears defense that still hasn't allowed a TD rushing. -NFL Football -
This is your final warning: Stop playing Baltimore's Jamal Lewis until he actually does something.
Wide receivers
THROW HIM THE DARN BALL!
Chad Johnson missed out on his sixth TD in six games for the Bengals last week only because of a questionable call. He should make up for it against the Packers' mediocre pass defense.
Jacksonville's Jimmy Smith should enjoy some quality time with the Rams secondary. (Yes, that is a converted receiver back there for St. Louis.) -NFL Football -
It's Joey Galloway's turn to score on the 49ers. He's already having a surprisingly good and injury-free year for the Bucs, with four TDs in his last four games.
Az-Zahir Hakim of the Saints has become somewhat reliable in Horn's absence, averaging 98 yards the past three weeks. He faces a Miami defense that has vanished.
Green Bay's Antonio Chatman could have a good game, mostly because he's one of the few remaining receivers Brett Favre actually recognizes. -NFL Football -
MAYBE THROW HIM THE DARN BALL?
Carolina's Keary Colbert could be a good option against the Vikings. Minnesota will be double- and triple-teaming Steve Smith but giving up big plays elsewhere.
SHOW THEM THE DARN BENCH
Don't get all sentimental about Amani Toomer's game-winning touchdown for the Giants last week. It was just his second TD in his last 21 games.
However tempting the Patriots pass defense is, don't bank on Buffalo receivers getting TDs in consecutive weeks. -NFL Football -
Jeff Garcia is a good upgrade from Joey Harrington, but Detroit's receivers are learning he's no Scott Mitchell.
The Daily Herald

